Jan
29
2012
Posted by
admin
Comments

Venezuela’s new chance

The Washington Post
By Editorial Board

1190 300x166 Venezuela’s new chance

Courtesy of: The Coalition for Democratic Unity (Mesa de la Unidad Democrática, MUD)

IN 13 YEARS of ruling Venezuela, Hugo Chavez has often benefited from his opposition. His first election victory reflected disgust with a complacent and corrupt political order; in his early years, the remnants of that elite played into his hands by boycotting elections while trying to oust him through non-democratic means. In the last presidential election, in 2006, Mr. Chavez faced a respectable but uncharismatic opponent with a history in the old order. He won handily, then forced challenger Manuel Rosales into exile.

Six years later Mr. Chavez’s Venezuela is a wretched mess of inflation, food shortages, rampant drug trafficking and one of the world’s highest murder rates. Yet in the opposition, a promising new political generation has emerged whose leaders look a lot like their counterparts in Brazil, Chile or Mexico. They are populist but pragmatic; internationally schooled yet focused on the problems of the poor; and committed to peaceful change. With another presidential election less than nine months away, they are offering Venezuela a path toward rejoining the democratic world.

More evidence that Mr. Chavez at last faces a serious domestic challenge came Tuesday, when one of the new leaders, 40-year-old Leopoldo Lopez, stepped out of an opposition competition to choose a presidential candidate in favor of 39-year-old Henrique Capriles Radonski — making the latter the overwhelming favorite in a Feb. 12 primary. Mr. Capriles, who upset one of Mr. Chavez’s closest allies in 2008 to become the governor of the key state of Miranda, styles himself as a Venezuelan version of Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, the immensely popular former Brazilian president who created a new regional model of center-left government. Both Mr. Capriles and Mr. Lopez have worked their way up in Venezuelan politics over the past decade despite constant persecution by Mr. Chavez, while never abandoning the democratic system.

Polls show Mr. Capriles in a dead heat with Mr. Chavez, even though the president has benefited from a wave of public sympathy since revealing seven months ago that he had been treated in Cuba for cancer. Any doubt that the strongman is worried about his political future was erased this month when Mr. Chavez shook up his government by appointing two longtime military allies to key posts — most notably, Gen. Henry Rangel Silva as defense minister. Gen. Rangel has been designated by the U.S. Treasury as an international narcotics kingpin for his well-documented involvement in cocaine trafficking in tandem with Colombia’s FARC terrorist group. In Venezuela, he is notorious for declaring that the military would not tolerate an opposition election victory.

It’s possible that Mr. Capriles will never get his chance to challenge Mr. Chavez at the ballot box. Though the president claims that he is cured of cancer, he has not revealed the details of his illness, and more than one foreign report has said that he suffers from an incurable malignancy. But no one should wish for Mr. Chavez’s untimely death. Instead, the democratic world should be hoping, and campaigning, for a free and fair presidential vote in October — and a democratic victory by Venezuela’s new opposition.

To read the original article on The Washington Post, please click here.

 
Jan
27
2012
Posted by
admin
Comments

In Case You Missed It… Articles Roundup Week of 1/27/12

In this week roundup: Leopoldo López withdraws from the Venezuelan opposition primaries and throws his support behind frontrunner Henrique Capriles Radonski, a man who TIME speculates may be the one to defeat Hugo Chávez this fall. Meanwhile, Chávez formally requests to leave the World Bank’s international arbitration forum; rampant crime further dampens Venezuela’s business climate; rumors persist that Chávez has less than a year to live; and finally, President Chávez’s daughter ignites a social media uproar by posting a picture of herself posing with a wad of dollar bills.

And then there were five, The Economist

The campaign to decide who will square off against Hugo Chávez in Venezuela’s October presidential election has, for the most part, been as dull as ditchwater. With all six contenders vowing to support the opposition Democratic Unity (MUD) alliance and unite behind the victor of the primaries scheduled for February 12th, mutual politeness has left many voters struggling to distinguish between one contender and another.

Venezuela Candidate Backs Rival, Pressuring Chávez, The Wall Street Journal

Venezuelan opposition leader Leopoldo López, who was among the three top contenders hoping to face President Hugo Chávez in October elections, withdrew from the primary field on Tuesday, saying he will back front-runner Henrique Capriles Radonski.

Capriles Radonski and the New Venezuelan Opposition, Foreign Affairs

In October, Venezuelans will head to the polls for the fourth presidential vote since Hugo Chávez took power in 1999. With the announcement earlier this week by Leopoldo López that he is ending his candidacy and throwing his support to Henrique Capriles Radonski, the young and charismatic governor whom many expect to be Chávez’s main contender, the opposition is gradually consolidating its power.

Candidate Capriles: Could This Man Defeat Venezuela’s Hugo Chavez?, TIME

To explain why left-wing Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez has stayed in power for 13 years, fans and foes alike point out that he controls the western hemisphere’s largest oil reserves. But he’s also been blessed with what is arguably the most incompetent political opposition in Latin America.

Venezuela Formally Requests Exit From Arbitration Court, Bloomberg Businessweek

Venezuela’s government officially requested to leave the World Bank’s arbitration court yesterday as demands pile up from abroad for compensation following a decade of nationalizations under President Hugo Chavez.

HRW: Global community should oversee Venezuela’s election campaign, El Universal

The global community is strongly recommended to oversee the whole process of the election for president in Venezuela to ensure that in the event of voting results not favorable to the government of President Hugo Chávez, the “politicized” armed forces and the judiciary will be “forced” to accept the results, HRW said on Monday.

Venezuela Rebuffed by U.S. High Court on Bandagro Bond Suit, Bloomberg

The U.S. Supreme Court refused to block an Ohio investor group from suing Venezuela over potentially $900 million in bank notes that the South American country says are forgeries.

Venezuela: counting the cost of crime, The Financial Times

It is no secret that Venezuela is hardly the most business friendly country in the world, with a president who habitually takes pleasure in grabbing private property, while a maze of government regulations act as an added deterrent.

Chavez still battling cancer, Spanish newspaper says, CNN

Cancer has spread in Hugo Chavez’s colon, spine and bones, and the Venezuelan president could have only nine months to live, Spain’s ABC newspaper reported Monday, citing medical records provided by unidentified intelligence sources.

Hugo Chavez’s daughter Rosines sets off furor of social media mockery, The Washington Post

For most Venezuelans, obtaining U.S. dollars in a tightly regulated economy is a nightmare. Apparently not for President Hugo Chavez’s 14-year-old daughter, Rosines, who posted a picture of herself holding a wad of greenbacks.

 

 
Jan
26
2012
Posted by
admin
Comments

ICYMI: Could This Man Defeat Venezuela’s Hugo Chavez?

Candidate Capriles: Could This Man Defeat Venezuela’s Hugo Chavez?
Time (Blog: Global Spin)
January 25, 2012
By Tim Padgett

To explain why left-wing Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez has stayed in power for 13 years, fans and foes alike point out that he controls the western hemisphere’s largest oil reserves. But he’s also been blessed with what is arguably the most incompetent political opposition in Latin America. As Chavez gears up for another re-election bid, however, he may finally face more than just the usual gallery of feckless and fractured rivals – and that became more apparent Jan. 24 when one of the leading candidates hoping to confront him in next October’s election, Leopoldo Lopez, threw his support behind the No. 1 prospect, Miranda state Governor Henrique Capriles Radonski.

Lopez’s surprise announcement, just a few weeks before an unusual, multi-party opposition primary election, offers one of the strongest signs yet that Chavez and his socialist revolution for once have a more unified force to deal with. Capriles, a 39-year-old former tax attorney with a surprisingly common touch, may well be the first viable challenger to Chavez’s controversial rule, which has reduced poverty and given the poor more empowerment, but which has been marked by a polarizing and often authoritarian style, economic mismanagement, a spiraling violent crime rate and deteriorated relations with the U.S. “I’m not part of the old Venezuelan political establishment” that Chavez toppled in the 1998 presidential election, Capriles told me this week at his campaign offices in Caracas. “I’m the last person Chavez wants to be a candidate against him.”

Capriles’ threat to Chavez can perhaps be summed up in one word: Lula. That is, former Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, whose remarkably successful mix of socialism and capitalism is Capriles’ model. It’s true that Chavez helped opened the door for Latin America’s leftists to take power again in the 2000s. But most of them, like Lula, turned out to be more moderate than Marxist – and that turned out to be geopolitical kryptonite for Chavez, whose radical influence in the region has declined sharply in the past half decade.

Chavez’s opponents, who for years let el presidente outflank and outfox them, have finally figured out that following Lula’s “third way” is probably the best way to topple Chavez inside Venezuela as well. Chavez has spent much of his presidency demonizing and dismantling capitalism in Venezuela, a strategy that has helped produce Latin America’s highest inflation rate (almost 30%) and its lowest level of foreign investment (a net outflow, in fact). Capriles’ pledge to retain Chavez’s popular social programs but revive capitalist productivity stands to resonate with Venezuelan voters, a majority of whom actually voted for opposition candidates in the 2010 parliamentary elections (although arcane proportional seating rules let Chavez’s socialist party keep its National Assembly majority).

Click here to read more.