May
23
2012
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Chávez or No Chávez: Venezuela’s Future is at Stake

pic11 Chávez or No Chávez: Venezuela’s Future is at StakeWhat’s Next Venezuela is proud to re-introduce our Venezuelan guest blogger — el Petardo de Petare. In the coming months Petardo will offer his thoughts on Venezuelan political, economic and social issues with his characteristic wit and insightful analysis. In this first installment of the election season, Petardo offers his opinion on the ongoing saga regarding Hugo Chávez’s health.

Much has changed in Venezuela since my last commentary — yet much, as the proverb would have it, has stayed the same. The economy remains in bad shape, despite the government’s highly publicized attempts to prop it up with borrowed money. Indeed, our prices continue to inflate so quickly that even Chávez’s massive increase in the minimum wage will scarcely boost the purchasing power of the average Venezuelan. It is as much a struggle today to buy necessities for one’s family as it was before this heralded wage hike. That is, if you can even find the necessities. Shortages of the most basic goods — corn, coffee, rice, the staples of our very lifestyle — are widespread and affect Venezuelans of every stripe and political leaning.

Another grim subject, however, has lately displaced such issues in the media. The government, so skillful at controlling its image, has done its best to keep chatter of President Chávez’s cancer out of the news. Yet our entire country remains consumed, spellbound, and hungry for the truth. The PSUV’s relentless effort to suppress information means that we know only a few things for sure. Among those certainties: President Chávez is severely ill; preferring Cuba’s medical facilities to his own country’s, as he has continually traveled to Havana for treatment; he now intends to formally swear in the six-member “Council of State,” which will serve as a sort of proxy government until the president “recovers his strength”; Chávez himself claimed in a phone call this week that he will register and run in this October’s presidential election.

Between those scant facts, however, arise troubling questions. Just how serious is Chávez’s cancer? Has it spread to other areas of his body, as some journalists have reported? Will the disease claim his life? And, if it does, who will take his place in October’s election? Worse, what if he dies shortly afterwards? Who then are we really voting for? Try as it might, the PSUV cannot prevent media from asking these questions. Neither can it stop journalists and commentators from seeking to answer them.

The International media coverage (much of which appears on this website) has also focused on the spectacle — and with good reason. I have read speculative articles that seek to unearth the facts about Chávez’s health; I have also seen reports that simply presume the president will soon be dead, and go on to envision the future of Venezuela “after chavismo.”

Despite the morbid subject matter, I remain gratified that so many continue to report on the affairs of Venezuela. I am sure the drama of President Chávez’s battle with cancer will continue attracting attention–especially if the news takes a turn for the worse. I do not propose to add my own views to the equation; that is best left to the experts. I ask only that those reporting the story remember why it matters.

The most urgent story does not concern the fate of chavismo, nor of the man himself; it is the future of my country that matters most. So I beg of all media, in Venezuela and the world, that they do not attend so much to the titanic struggle between Hugo Chávez and his cancer that they neglect the less dramatic–but much more important–struggles of so many Venezuelans to live lives of dignity and security.

It is these stories I will share with you in the coming months. Venezuela faces challenges on many fronts, from infrastructure to crime to shortages of food and electricity. I believe my country can overcome these hurdles, but only if our leaders change course. If they don’t, the health of our president will be the least of our worries.

 
Jun
6
2011
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Caught Between Washington and a Hard Place

pic11 Caught Between Washington and a Hard PlaceWNVZ is proud to introduce the newest blogger to join our ranks – el Petardo de Petare.  Petardo will offer his viewpoint on Venezuelan political and social issues with his characteristic wit and insightful analysis. In the first installment of his blog, Petardo takes on the recent sanctions imposed by the United States against PDVSA and the political circus that followed.

Since the United States announced sanctions against our state oil company, PDVSA, Venezuelans have been enduring a daily dose of government-sponsored marches condemning the U.S. measure. PDVSA workers around the country have been forcefully mobilized – dressed from head to toe in their finest red clothing – to rally against the “Yankees.” Mr. Chávez’s own party, PSUV, recently held a rally to protest the U.S. sanctions. Hoards of state-organized mobs have proclaimed their repudiation of the “Yankee imperialists,” accusing them of threatening our sovereignty. As if synchronized – and it is – the government-run media has devoted a majority of its news coverage to the issue. Not a moment goes by without some or other government official loudly proclaiming their defense of our national sovereignty and making wild accusations against the United States. PSUV National Assemblyman, Aristóbulo Isturiz went as far as accusing the United States of attempting to sabotage next year’s presidential elections. Another Chávez lackey suggested the final goal of the United States is to invade Venezuela. You get the drift.

All this huffing and puffing is much to do about nothing. The sanctions will have little to no impact on Venezuela. After all, CITGO, our Bolivarian mole in the United States, is not impacted by the move. Thus, Venezuela will continue to be able to export more than 40% of our oil production to what the regime calls “capitalist, imperialist robber barons to our north.” Even with all its chest pounding, the Chávez government did not dare touch its oil exports to America. The reason is simple. The United States is the leading buyer of our golden goose – oil – which provides for most of our foreign currency reserves. For a government whose only economic policy is to spend money buying new voters, the U.S. money spigot is the most important revenue source and, therefore, all that really matters to them.

The most interesting sideshow to this situation is the unusual parallel between the government’s reaction and that of the opposition political parties and leaders. For the first time in the millennia, Washington accomplished something not very often seen in Venezuela. That is the government and opposition agreeing on something. Both have condemned the U.S. sanctions.

For the Venezuelan opposition, the decision to condemn the sanctions was not easy. In doing so, they found themselves caught between Washington and a hard place. Not so for the government. The default stance of Chavistas is to blame the United States for virtually everything that is wrong in our country – never mind that our hardships are really a direct result of the government’s utter incompetence. In rejecting the U.S. sanctions, the opposition risked alienating its most ardent supporters. You see, among the opposition hardliners, any agreement with the government is considered a cardinal sin. For the hardliners, opposing Chavismo means disagreeing with anything and everything President Chávez does. If you dare agree on anything, no matter how large or small the scale of the issue, you are automatically branded “too soft.” At the same time, had the opposition expressed even the most timid support for the U.S. sanctions, the Chávez government would have attacked them as “servants of the American imperialists,” and willing partners in “selling out” Venezuela’s independence and sovereignty.

The opposition’s decision to reject the sanctions was honest, brave, and smart. Otherwise, they would have handed Mr. Chávez, in a silver platter, a fantastic excuse to shift the political debate in our country from what really matters – inflation, food shortages, blackouts, etc. – to useless, anti-American rhetoric. It would have strengthened Mr. Chávez’s ability to portray himself as the only political leader capable of standing up for our country. At a time when the government is more vulnerable than ever with the headlines being dominated by the most recent blackouts and economic morass, disagreement would have handed Chavistas a winning card. Clearly, the opposition is willing to alienate a small but vociferous minority rather than jeopardize its credibility with the middle-of-the-road majority voters, who hold in their hands the future of Venezuela.

The sanctions issue also highlights how Caracas and Washington are on completely different wavelengths when it comes to the issues that really matter. Every time I read the U.S. media, I see that when discussing Venezuela, U.S. opinion leaders only care about Mr. Chávez’s links to Iran and other “undesirables.” But here, in Petare, that is hardly a concern or topic of discussion. At a time when Venezuelans are forced to fight every day to find sugar, coffee, and meat, or to hold on to their jobs, or to protect themselves from becoming a victim of crime, Mr. Chávez’s extracurricular activities in the world stage are not a domestic priority. That’s not to say that the government’s foreign policy should not be scrutinized, but rather that Venezuela’s foreign policy should be judged based on what is in our national interest and not that of any other country, including the United States.